Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 45.109783 51.841020 58.849148 66.658626 75.087049 83.880200 93.718096
2024-10-06 35.550623 45.071353 55.557009 67.830512 81.675818 96.693512 114.098264
2024-10-13 30.117121 41.150605 53.817582 69.163473 86.993645 106.822190 130.308868
2024-10-20 25.009781 36.781662 50.844234 68.426595 89.395529 113.218644 141.955427
2024-10-27 20.434701 32.424165 47.329883 66.541134 90.016655 117.209679 150.545413
2024-11-03 18.731123 31.479420 47.802921 69.301986 96.019869 127.378453 166.236725
2024-11-10 16.893127 30.115395 47.555012 71.014215 100.640554 135.844004 179.902864
2024-11-17 14.327012 27.439215 45.352984 70.042028 101.789429 140.029523 188.409675
2024-11-24 12.123312 25.017218 43.272274 69.036608 102.742773 143.863049 196.410404
2024-12-01 10.586073 23.411945 42.166129 69.191278 105.072441 149.318473 206.332795
2024-12-08 9.262078 21.978117 41.175971 69.399277 107.395605 154.719000 216.166563
2024-12-15 8.215415 20.869294 40.558890 70.040791 110.230818 160.730979 226.745417
2024-12-22 6.907428 19.153342 38.941105 69.235579 111.150975 164.367458 234.476781
2024-12-29 6.201435 18.432186 38.778624 70.449911 114.749907 171.417217 246.491144
2025-01-05 5.603802 17.831238 38.746823 71.812754 118.528733 178.695581 258.809110
2025-01-12 4.676846 16.424034 37.319379 71.058562 119.368709 182.153009 266.307459
2025-01-19 3.683472 14.672268 35.179129 69.127718 118.496261 183.319439 270.858662
2025-01-26 3.534757 14.795154 36.196492 71.954813 124.249342 193.169687 286.491323
2025-02-02 3.242439 14.529809 36.517478 73.707622 128.499732 201.061366 299.655054
2025-02-09 2.623108 13.323306 35.097932 72.712440 128.829454 203.751444 306.143880
2025-02-16 2.089194 12.187743 33.706288 71.683110 129.053179 206.262514 312.379510
2025-02-23 1.750393 11.504721 33.091148 71.841468 130.953849 211.000353 321.494982
2025-03-02 1.459951 10.879014 32.532451 72.054419 132.912317 215.808577 330.708167